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distribute rewards per epoch to bound single-prediction capture#844

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trizin wants to merge 4 commits into
mainfrom
formula-fix
Open

distribute rewards per epoch to bound single-prediction capture#844
trizin wants to merge 4 commits into
mainfrom
formula-fix

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@trizin

@trizin trizin commented Jun 30, 2026

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Reward Allocation Change

Previous design: Rewards were allocated proportionally to each
predictoor's total weekly profit per feed.

Problem: Because profit is just stake redistribution, an attacker could
both-side a market across unlinkable wallets to manufacture a huge
positive-profit wallet for ~zero net cost — and thereby capture the entire
feed budget.

New design: Split the budget across three stages:

  1. Equally across feeds (contracts)
  2. Equally across all possible weekly epochs for that feed
  3. Within each epoch, proportional to positive profit in that epoch

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